Nordic Paradox

Productivity Analysis • 2000-2025 - Nordic Business Journal Analysis

LIVE DATA • EU KLEMS 2025
SE • DK • FI • NO
TFP GROWTH
0.8%
-1.4pp vs 2000-2007
GDP PER HOUR
72.4
+12.3% since 2010
ICT CAPITAL
+43%
Deepening vs Output
UNIT LABOR COST
108.4
+7.2 vs US
FIRM ENTRY RATE
3.4%
-52% since 2007

Total Factor Productivity Growth

EU KLEMS / wiiw • NACE Rev. 2

Nordics
SE
DK
FI
2000–2025

GDP per Hour Worked

OECD • Index (2015=100)

Nordics Avg
United States
2025

ICT Capital Deepening

Capital stock growth vs TFP

Nordics ICT Capital +43%
Non-ICT Capital +18%
TFP (Productivity) +0.8%
Productivity paradox confirmed

Productivity by Sector (NACE Rev. 2)

Labour productivity • Real value added per hour

2025
J-M
Knowledge Services
+2.1%
TFP
Value Added 118.4
F
Construction
-0.8%
TFP
Value Added 92.4
O-Q
Public & Health
+0.3%
TFP
Value Added 104.2

Creative Destruction Slowdown

SNS Swedish Productivity Study • Firm entry/exit

Gazelle startups: 3.4%
2007: 7.1% → 2024: 3.4%

Cross-Country Productivity Benchmarks

OECD Productivity Statistics • 2025 estimates

Country GDP/Hour (USD) TFP Growth ICT Share Unit Labor Cost Hours Worked
Sweden 78.3 +0.7% 31.4% 106.2 1,452
Denmark 81.7 +1.1% 34.8% 109.8 1,378
Finland 69.4 +0.4% 29.6% 104.7 1,501
Norway 92.1 +0.9% 27.1% 113.4 1,411
United States 85.6 +1.4% 39.2% 100.0 1,811
EU-27 Average 61.8 +0.3% 22.4% 102.5 1,562
Sources: EU KLEMS/wiiw, OECD, Eurostat nama_10_lp_a21, SNS Sweden