Nordic Stock Market Round-Up – Monday, 28 July 2025

Market Snapshot: Broadly Lower, but Iceland Shines

Nordic equities ended the first trading session of the week on a soft note. 

  • OMX Nordic 40 Index: ‑0.4 % 
  • Denmark – OMX Copenhagen 20: ‑0.3 % 
  • Finland – OMX Helsinki 25: ‑0.5 % 
  • Sweden – OMX Stockholm 30: ‑0.6 % 
  • Norway – Oslo Exchange Benchmark Index_GI: +0.7 % 
  • Iceland – OMX Iceland All-Share PI Equity Index: +1.5 %

While the region as a whole tracked a mildly negative European tape (STOXX Europe 600 ‑0.2 %), divergent currency and commodity moves, plus company-specific news, produced clear winners and losers.

What Moved the Markets

DriverImpact
Currency swingsThe U.S. dollar firmed across the board (USD +1.2 % vs EUR, +0.6 % vs DXY). NOK and SEK weakened against the greenback (-0.3 % and ‑0.7 % respectively), weighing on exporter sentiment in Sweden and Norway.
Commodity reboundBrent crude surged 2.1 %, which cushioned the Oslo bourse and lifted energy-related names. Gold eased 0.6 %, dampening bullion-exposed issues in Sweden.
M\&A chatterA DKK 3 bn take-private bid for Bavarian Nordic by Nordic Capital/Permira kept Danish pharma in the spotlight and spilled over to other Nordic mid-caps viewed as potential targets.
Earnings pre-announcementsEarly reporters signalled margin pressure from FX and freight costs, prompting profit-taking in cash-handling and gaming names.

Winners & Losers

Top Gainers (Large & Mid-Cap)

CompanyTickerMoveComment
AlvotechALVO+6.2 %FDA approval optimism for a key biosimilar filing.
engcon AB cl.BENGCON B+5.9 %Strong quarterly order intake in tilt-rotator systems.
TGS ASATGS+4.4 %Benefited from higher seismic survey activity on firmer oil prices.

Biggest Drags

CompanyTickerMoveComment
Loomis ABLOOMIS‑6.3 %Margin warning on rising cash-logistics costs in the U.S.
Embracer Group ABEMBRACER‑4.8 %Delay of a major game release and FX headwinds.
Storskogen Group AB ser.BSTORSKOGEN B‑4.3 %Profit-taking after last week’s strong run; no fresh news.

In Other Market News

  • Bavarian Nordic closed at DKK 238, above the DKK 233 take-private offer, indicating investors expect a bump or competing bid.  
  • Bitcoin slid 0.8 % to USD 118 075, trimming the recent crypto-fuelled gains seen on some Swedish fintech names. 
  • Central-bank watch: Traders dialled back expectations for a September cut by the Riksbank after a hawkish FT interview with Governor Thedeen; Swedish 2-year yields rose 4 bp.

 Look Ahead – Tuesday, 29 July 2025

  • Macro: Sweden’s Q2 GDP flash estimate (07:00 CET) and Norway’s unemployment data are the region’s marquee releases. 
  • Earnings: A busy Nordic calendar includes quarterly reports from Nordea, Novo Nordisk, and Volvo Cars – all capable of moving their respective indices. 
  • Technical levels: The OMXS30 is hovering just above its 50-day moving average (2 585); a break could accelerate downside toward 2 550. 
  • Sentiment: Deal-related flow (Bavarian Nordic, potential counter-bids) and any further oil-price strength should keep intraday volatility elevated.

Bottom line: After Monday’s mild pullback, investors will balance softer macro prints against earnings beats and M&A premiums. Expect another choppy but stock-specific session.

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